Friday, July 1, 2016

THE FEDERAL RESERVE - PURE POLITICS


Though it’s taken a full century in its transformation, the agency instituted in 1913, to regulate the nation’s volume of credit and the money supply—the Federal Reserve System—finally completed its metamorphosis into a purely political arm of the executive branch.


How the need for this regulatory body developed is a story unto itself.  In America’s earlier years regular financial upheavals were common, with the Panic of 1819 as our first boom-to-bust economic cycle.  Less than twenty years later, the Rescission of 1837 resulted in numerous bank failures, followed by a 5-year depression.  Similar crises occurred in both 1873 and 1893, with the Panic of 1901 ending in a fight for financial control of major railways.  But the Panic of 1907, known as the Bankers’ Panic, truly demonstrated the fragility of the nation’s economic system and the need for some sort of consorted action by an overriding authority.


For a three week period starting in mid-October of that year, as values on the New York Stock Exchange fell almost 50% from their peak of the previous year, a number of financial institutions, along with several large brokerage houses, hovered on the verge of failure.  There followed a run on New York banks, with both the City of New York and the New York Stock Exchange becoming temporarily insolvent.  The entire economic structure of the nation then seemed threatened; something drastic became necessary.


With the advent of the twentieth century, the world’s financial landscape no longer resembled its past.  The time-honored expression, “As safe as if it were in the Bank of England,” became a relic of a bygone era, and by 1907 the United States reigned as the world’s financial powerhouse.  But with the banking industry on the verge of collapse, someone or something, with an overpowering presence, had to materialize if the nation’s economy were to survive.  Fortunately, just such a presence appeared: J. Pierpont Morgan, unquestionably the nation’s most influential entrepreneur, with a dominant position in the fields of both domestic and international finance.  He warranted the title as The World’s Banker.


With the fate of the economy at stake, Morgan took charge.  Although seventy years of age, and in uncertain health, he put in twelve- to fifteen-hour days, working at times until three in the morning.  No one refused his calls as he summoned trust company presidents, brokerage chairmen and bank executives, all the while he banged heads and twisted arms to get the cooperation necessary to shore up the faltering system.  And when the crisis passed with a mostly favorable outcome, due solely to Morgan’s sheer personal authority, the nation realized, if nothing else, that something needed to be done to empower the U.S. government to take necessary action in any future cataclysms.  The result: consensus for the creation of the Federal Reserve System.


With this as our background, and following extensive legislative negotiations and maneuvering, the central banking system of the United States was established by the Federal Reserve Act, and signed into law by President Woodrow Wilson on December 23, 1913.  At its creation, it enumerated four primary functions: 1) purchase and sale of government securities 2) establishing the rate of interest banks must pay when borrowing from Federal Reserve banks 3) establishing the amount of money commercial member banks must maintain on deposit with the Federal Reserve 4) Regulation of allowable credit levels for stock market transactions.  As you see, it came into being to function as a non-political agency for a sole purpose: as a bulwark for the nation’s banking and financial stability.


An important factor in any organization is its structure.  With the probable scope of its functions, together with overriding congressional interest in its likely financial undertakings, a remarkably complex entity formed.  The system is divided into twelve districts, each serving a fixed geographical region of the U.S. through a Federal Reserve hierarchy.  There is also a Board of Governors consisting of seven members appointed by the President of the U.S. with the approval of the Senate.  Add to this a Federal Advisory Council comprised of twelve members, each representing a Federal Reserve district, with its members elected by the board of directors of the Federal Reserve banks.  Finely, there is the Federal Open-Market Committee consisting of the seven-man Board of Governors and the presidents of five Reserve banks.  As you see, despite a professed apolitical intent, the full set of political ingredients are built into the structure.


Many years have passed since the Federal Reserve assumed its limited obligations.  It’s a fact of human nature that as an organization ages, it strives to grow in size and functionality.  And why not?  Growth can promote its more aggressive members into positions which offer greater authority and reward.  So with over one hundred years of maturing, is it any wonder the system is now a power unto itself?  During the past several decades the Fed Chairmen assumed celebrity status, as the names Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen became household words.  And with presidential appointments and senatorial approval as the keys to this kingdom, who wouldn’t expect it to devolve into a maelstrom whereby the political tail wags the regulatory dog?


This brings us to its most recent declaration: the Fed’s semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to Congress.  On June 22, 2016, Fed Chairman Yellen decried the widening wealth disparity between races, calling it “extremely disturbing.”  The report questioned whether the “gains of the expansion have been widely shared,” and concluded that “blacks and Hispanics suffered the greatest proportional losses in full-time employment during the recession.”  Since her elevation as chair in March 2014, Yellen made prosperity for all a signature of her tenure.  Perhaps it comes as no surprise that in April of the same year, President Obama signed an Executive Order to prevent workplace discrimination and empower workers to take control over negotiations regarding their pay. In addition, he signed a Presidential Memorandum directing the Secretary of Labor to require federal contractors to submit data on employee compensation by race and gender.  Does it seem more than coincidence the President’s selection as Fed Chief is one who will aggressively promote his goals in this particular political arena.


A final thought: Regardless of the rules established and the precedents set, don’t expect purity in government. We function as humans, not as robots, so expect decisions to be twisted to favor the twisters.  Remember always, politics will be the deciding factor.  This is how it is and always will be.

                                       

If you enjoy this weekly Straight Talk by Al Jacobs, you’re invited to check out my monthly Financial Newsletter, as well as my new book, The Road to Prosperity


                                       

 
 



 

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